Posted in Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, health reform

The 2016 Medicare Trustees Report: One year closer to IPAB cuts?

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

From the relentless drone of ‘where are the jobs, Mr. President?’ to the misguided fear mongering of ‘death panels for Grandma’ administered by un-elected, faceless bureaucrats to the de facto death of American Democracy itself the attacks on the Affordable Care Act (ACA), flawed indeed as it is, is starting to log results, some of them are quite impressive as noted by a recent piece at Morning Consult titled: ‘Trustees: Medicare Savings Recommendations Forestalled’.

View more details on Brookings.edu
View more details on Brookings.edu

This morning Brookings in association with the American Enterprise Institute and the Schaeffer Initiative for Innovation in Health Policy at the University of Southern California hosted ‘The 2016 Medicare Trustees Report: One year closer to IPAB cuts?‘.

The event is summarized by its organizers as:

For most of the last five decades, the most-discussed finding by the Medicare trustees has been the insolvency date, when Medicare’s trust fund would no longer be able to pay all of the program’s costs. Last year’s report projected that the hospital insurance trust fund would be depleted by 2030 – just 14 years from now. The report also predicted a more immediate and controversial event: the Independent Payment Advisory Board (IPAB), famously nicknamed “death panels,” would be required to submit proposals to reduce Medicare spending in 2018, with the reductions taking place in 2019. Do we remain on this path to automatic Medicare cuts next year?

The American Enterprise Institute and the Schaeffer Initiative for Innovation in Health Policy, a collaboration between the USC Leonard D. Schaeffer Center for Health Policy & Economics and the Brookings Institution, hosted a discussion of the new 2016 trustees report on June 23. Medicare’s Chief Actuary Paul Spitalnic summarized the key findings followed by a panel of experts who discussed the potential consequences of the report for policy actions that might be taken to improve the program’s fiscal condition. You can join the conversation at #MedicareReport.

In the tsunami of misrepresentation and outright deception of the many moving parts of the ACA the ultimate barometer of success – at least from the health policy perspective – is the forecasted effect the law was to have on the U.S. Treasury, i.e., it will bankrupt the country and undermine the roots of our pluralistic healthcare ecosystem, replacing it with a ‘top down’ Government run Federal quagmire.

EDITOR’s NOTE: for the Acting CMS Administrator’s take on the Federally Faciliated and State Run ‘Marketplace’, check out Andy Slavitt’s recap via ‘Marketplace Year 3: Issuer Insights and Innovation (Part 3).

Well the ACA results are in and the truth be told, while not a sealed trend (there are both headwinds and macroeconomic wildcards in the mix), the data is ‘encouraging‘.

Enjoy the audio!

 

Posted in Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, Triple Aim

Hey, Remember IPAs, PPOs and TPAs?

by Gregg A. Masters, MPHAAPAN 2016 Forum

In a last man standing of sorts in what some may call the legacy and aging infrastructure of the ‘vote with your feet‘ PPO industry including it’s allies in the TPA (Third Party Administrator) space, the American Association of Payors, Administrators and Networks (AAPAN) is holding its 2016 Annual Forum in my former hometown of Dana Point, California at the Ritz Carlton, Laguna Nigel.

The mission of American Association of Payors, Administrators and Networks (AAPAN) notes it provides:

….the platform for the unification of payers, administrators and networks and the ability for a stronger collective public policy voice to enhance the position of each stakeholder as essential to the future of affordable healthcare delivery options centered on patient choice.

According to its subsidiary the American Association of Preferred Provider Organizations (AAPPO) the ‘PPO chassis’ accounts for:

An estimated 200 million Americans, or about 81 percent of all Americans with health care coverage (excluding those receiving military health care), receive their health care services through a PPO delivery system.

A history of managed care As a ‘collaborative association’ on behalf of the PPO industry initially positioned as a complementary (if not an HMO-lite) alternative to the more aggressive gatekeeper HMO option (see history of managed care era in graphic), AAPAN has a track record of success from advocacy, to thought leadership and operating best practices and solutions.

The Association aligns two potentially silo-ed (though synergistic) interests: the American Association of PPOs (AAPPO), the Third Party Administrators Association of America (TPAAA). For an issue brief on valued based healthcare and the need for network standards, see: The Need to Standardize Network Value-Based Purchasing Requirements.

So one might say, though a larger share of the employer based insurance market remains in a PPO type (vs. HMO) benefit plan design their role and industry leadership visibility may have been somewhat muted (if not, absent from the health reform narrative) since the rollout of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) and it’s emphasis on Accountable Care Organizations (ACOs) dominated the reform narrative.

AAPAN intends to raise this profile and remind many in the space that PPOs, TPAs and even IPAs (Independent Practice Associations) have a material and meaningful role to play in enabling the triple aim even if their initiatives aren’t tagged ACOs per se.

The 2016 Forum hashtag is #AAPAN16, and the digital dashboard is here. Do follow the tweetstream for thought leadership insights from key industry executives, entrepreneurs and change agents. See keynotes and sessions here, including Health Innovation Media co-host, Douglas Goldstein aka @eFuturist.

The program schedule is here.

 

Posted in Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act

Must listen JP Morgan Healthcare Conference Webcasts: @Centene

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

NOTE: This is second in a series of ‘Must listen’ webcasts produced at JP Morgan’s 34th Annual Healthcare Conference. The first focused on telehealth sector market leader Teladoc. For background and details on this august gathering, see ‘If It’s January, It’s JP Morgan Healthcare Conference. Remaining companies to detail as they represent important ‘bell weather’ insights relative to their respective sectors, include: Aetna, AthenaHealth, Centene, Genomic Health, Molina Health,Universal American, Tenet Health, as well as several from the ‘non-profit’ (tax exempt) sector including Baylor Scott and White

Centene’s operations and strategy positioning insights are material on a number of levels including the ‘urge to merge’ in the HMO or managed care space, and the implications such continuing consolidation holds for movement towards clinical and financial integration in the provider space. Additionally as many predict the future viability of the Medicare Trust Fund may rely largely on the efficacy of how Part C stakeholders articulate a sustainable vision of Medicare Advantage program to extend and enhance the life cycle of the Medicare program itself.

For direct link to the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, click here. For the associated Centene profile, click here, the deck here and webcast, here.

For two related pieces on navigating the ‘white waters’ of the market’s transformation from volume-to-value as well as the recent ‘collateral damage’ (aka data breach) of healthIT as central spine enabling the transformation, check out ‘Centene–Health Net Entity Could Be Medicaid Leader and ‘Centene loses hard drives with health info on 950,000 beneficiaries, launches search‘, respectively.

Meanwhile, here are some slides which paint the picture both company and industry:

Centene overview

Centene growth 2015

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Screen Shot 2016-01-27 at 11.41.42 AM

Screen Shot 2016-01-27 at 11.41.57 AM

Centene

Centene specialty growth

Centene growth strategy

Centene market vy product

Centene pipeline

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Centene:

http://jpmorgan.metameetings.com/confbook/healthcare16/company.php?company=CENTENE+Corporation&p=19768&special_list_title=

http://marketrealist.com/2015/07/centene-health-net-entity-medicaid-leader/

Posted in Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, health insurance reform

CMS Quality Measure Development Plan: A DRAFT

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

An inspirational leader and ‘disruptive‘ politician taken down well ahead of his time once opined:

“Ask not what your country can do for you, ask what you can do for your country…” John Fitzgerald Kennedy

Fast forward some 55+ years and season such an invitation with the relentless drone of 24/7/365 faux patriotism, hate mongering, intolerance, and emotive ‘hell no‘ sound-bytes proferred by those who self righteously claim title to the ‘take back our country’ narrative and you may ask yourself how did we get from there (the Peace Corps) to here (carpet bomb em)?

Yet, in our unique strain of American democracy even through studies empirically demonstrate a consistent disconnect between what Americans want and what their representatives codify via policy with a capital ‘P’, the bottom line is look in the mirror ‘we are the government’.

CMS_quality_development_planWhether it’s the creation and passage of what merged into the ‘Affordable Care Act‘ (ACA) or how the ‘public’ participates in both the legislative process and its implementation via the rule making process initiated aka the ‘notice of proposed rule making’ (NPRM), we are presented with both the opportunity and as it turns out obligation to engage in and thus granularly shape (via a dialectical bottoms up vs. top down exchange) the ground rules which in turn govern our economy and the conduct of its constituent industry stakeholders.

In the quest to advance the efficacy of quality initiatives (garbage in garbage out) one recent effort is the DRAFT release of the ‘CMS Quality Measure Development Plan: Supporting the Transition to the Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) and Alternative Payment Models‘.  

As an industry we are process oriented sometimes to a fault. Moreover the ‘check the box’ or drop down nature of many of these measures lends itself to the argument that the state of the industry to actually measure, document and report healthcare quality is at best a crude representation of what is actually going on. Clearly there is more work to be done if this industry is to matter.

To help readers of this blog, the introduction of the executive summary is pasted below:

I. Executive Summary

Background

A transformation of the U.S. healthcare delivery system gained momentum in 2010 with the passage of the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (Affordable Care Act).1

The law established the Health Insurance Marketplace to extend consumer access to affordable care through private payers and provided strong incentives in publicly financed healthcare programs to connect provider payment to quality of care and efficiency. 

Building on the principles and foundation of the Affordable Care Act, the Administration announced a clear timeline for targeting 30 percent of Medicare payments tied to quality or value through alternative payment models by the end of 2016 and 50 percent by the end of 2018.
These are measurable goals to move the Medicare program and our healthcare system at large toward paying providers based on quality, rather than quantity, of care.2

The passage of the Medicare Access and Children’s Health Insurance Program (CHIP)
Reauthorization Act of 2015 (MACRA)3 supports the ongoing transformation of healthcare delivery by furthering the development of new Medicare payment and delivery models for physicians and other clinicians. Section 102 of MACRA4,i requires that the Secretary of Health and Human Services develop and post on the CMS.gov website “a draft plan for the development of quality measures” by January 1, 2016, for application under certain applicable provisions related to the new Medicare Merit-based Incentive Payment System (MIPS) and to certain Medicare alternative payment models (APMs).

The law provides both a mandate and an opportunity for the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) to leverage quality measure development as a key driver to further the aims of the CMS Quality Strategy:

• Better Care,
• Smarter Spending, and
• Healthier People. 5

Measure Development Plan Purpose
The purpose of the CMS Quality Measure Development Plan (MDP) is to meet the requirements of the statute and serve as a strategic framework for the future of clinician quality measure development to support MIPS and APMs. CMS welcomes comments on this draft plan from the public, including healthcare providers, payers, consumers, and other stakeholders, through March 1, 2016.ii The final MDP, taking into account public comments on this draft plan, will be posted on the CMS.gov website by May 1, 2016, followed by updates annually or as otherwise appropriate.i

So here it is… have at it. Perhaps your input will in fact shape the substance and steward the glide-path of how the transformation from volume to value can be realized. Certainly it’s worth your consideration. Afterall, another attributed Kennedy quote with biblical DNA may apply here:

“We are not here to curse the darkness, but to light a candle that can guide us through the darkness to a safe and sure future. For the world is changing. The old era is ending. The old ways will not do.

The problems are not all solved and the battles are not all won and we stand today on the edge of a New Frontier – a frontier of unknown opportunities and perils, a frontier of unfulfilled hopes and threats.

It has been a long road to this crowded convention city. Now begins another long journey, taking me into your cities and towns and homes all over America.

Give me your help. Give me your hand, your voice and your vote.”

John Fitzgerald Kennedy

Posted in Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, health insurance reform

12 Steps to the Triple Aim or Value Based Healthcare

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

It has been challenging at times being in the ‘innovation conversation’ dating back to the 70s (who remembers ‘WIN’ [whip inflation now], PSROs or even HSAs (no, not the WIN \ Whip Inflation Nowprivatization funding mechanism, but the CON overlords) watching what get’s reported by industry press or online media as ‘innovation‘ or ‘bold new thinking‘ amidst a ‘cottage industry’s’ 3x trillion spend rate – including it’s culpable supply chain and many vendors (some may even say ‘pigs’) at the trough.

As indicia of the impending collapse of our aging house of cards healthcare delivery and financing industry (continued burnout rates driving physician exits to direct practice or concierge medicine, un-ending and nauseating opposition to the ACA, mega and no so mega hospital mergers, associated practice acquisitions and health plan consolidation, not to mention the codification of the cost shift charade via the lower metals designations of the ACA and including armies of dissatisfied patients suffering in a provider centric culture) continues to accumulate, it affirms what Esther Dyson once presciently characterized as the ‘calcified hairball‘ given it’s ‘resistance is futile’ [to change] nature.

Healthcare Inflation

Recent healthcare inflation moderation trends notwithstanding (see: ‘2014 National Health Spending; The Great Moderation Likely Not Over‘ by healthcare futurist Jeff Goldsmith) whether a function of ACA implementation in part of as a whole, the industry has essentially and collectively failed to deliver on the principles of the triple aim – which existed in spirit considerably before it’s labeling by the Institute for Healthcare Improvement (IHI). Providers continue to maximize their profits or ‘excess revenues over expenses’ for the ‘non-profit’ [aka tax exempt’ sector] often at the expense of community benefit.

Perhaps no other chart series in line item detail captures and evidences this slow burn of fail as the progressive and relentless growth of one man’s healthcare premiums in California. Take note of the persistent [cost] shift from the payer (health plan) to the patient or beneficiary.  If this is the best we can do via ‘wholesale purchasers’ (market savvy health plans) leveraging millions of members and ‘medical management’ and network contracting infrastructure, how can an army of independent and often clueless if not dis-empowered agents (patients, members sometimes at the point of service) do better?

[Editor’s note: one reason for an earlier post on the need for a ‘new IPA’ i.e., independent patient association]

This testimony was provided by Josh Libresco to the Department of Managed Care in California during their consideration of rate hikes by health plans.

Testimony1

Testimony2

 

 

 

Time for a New Manifesto?

With this history as both context and some may say ‘institutional memory’, I thought I might make sense to take heed of what’s become rather well known in the 12 step recovery community (from AA to Al-anon and many derivatives) which is to admit our ‘addiction’ to the arguably ‘easier softer path’, i.e., fee for services medicine.

Perhaps this can be a manifesto of sorts to embrace as we embark upon this journey for volume to value based healthcare?

Adapted from the 12 Steps of Alcoholics Anonymous

1. We admitted we were powerless over our addiction to fee for services medicine – that our healthcare delivery and financing model had become unmanageable.

2. We came to believe that power greater than ‘do more to earn more’ incentives (global capitation) could restore us to sanity and deliver on the triple aim.

3. Recognizing the finite nature of healthcare resources we made a decision to dedicate our will and our professional lives to the pursuit of the triple aim and the associated sustainable healthcare economy.

4. We made a searching and fearless moral inventory of our contributions to a seemingly ‘resistance is futile’ healthcare borg.

5. We admitted in our silo-ed huddles and to one another the aggregate nature of our collective wrongs.

6. We were entirely ready to have a calling to the ‘greater good’ transform a profit maximization – at any expense- operating culture.

7. We humbly asked our ‘higher power’ for faith in value based healthcare and for support to let go of the fee for services addiction.

8. We made a list of all patients, payers, or employers we had harmed, and became willing to make amends to them all.

9. We made direct amends to such stakeholders wherever possible, except when to do so would injure them, others or our ability to facilitate the journey from volume to value.

10. We continued to take personal inventory and when we felt the temptation to default to legacy inertia promptly admitted it.

11. We sought through mindfulness, meditation and collaboration to improve our vision and practice of value based healthcare, sharing openly for the knowledge, capacity and willingness to deliver this historically elusive goal.

12. Having had a professional if not spiritual awakening as the result of these steps, we tried to carry this message to one another and practice these principles in all our affairs.

 

Posted in Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act

The Droids You Are Looking For Are Not Here

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

Beneath the ideological crossfire and mostly bluster of the ACA ‘repeal and replace crowd’, while the latest ‘new, new, thing‘ aka the defacto Rorschach upside of a litany of mostly vaporware or me too ‘meh‘ digital health apps, platforms or S-1 filings (see: ‘Disruptive Idiots from Silicon Valley‘) stumble into maturity amidst growing calls for validation and evidence of tangible ecosystem sustainability, a pulse of innovation can be found in some less ‘sexy’ sectors.

Some time ago physician innovation pioneer Richard Merkin, MD, the founder and principal visionary behind the Heritage Provider Network and all of its sequelae (Heritage Medical Systems, Heritage ACO, etc.), opined from the stage at the ACO Summit that perhaps the biggest contribution (gold) from the ACA was to be mined from the forward leaning work stimulated by the law’s enablement of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI) aka @CMSinnovates on twitter.

Richard Gilfillan MDThe indisputable driver of what was then invested in Richard Gillfilan, MD the first CMMI Director (now stewarding the transformation at Trinity Health System, @TrinityHealthMI), was the volume to value imperative.

Into this challenge was cast considerable public capital/incentive funds to model what that meant from a delivery system and financing re-engineering perspective. Perhaps fueling the discounting of CMMI’s early efforts was the poorly constructed ‘Pioneer ACO‘ program, ostensibly designed to attract a more risk savvy pool of players who could reasonably assume greater risk and therefore earn more meaningful bonuses for doing what they already know how to do principally via Medicare Advantage participation. This early cohort of 32 ‘Pioneers’ has dwindled recently to 19 with the recent defection of the trophy Darmouth-Hitchcock ACO, see:Dartmouth-Hitchcock exits Medicare’s Pioneer ACO program‘.

With that as backdrop, consider the following timely guide from the Cooperative of American Physicians titled ‘The Physician’s Guide To Value-Based Compensation‘. Consider this an essential ‘blocking and tackling’ primer of how to incentivize the granular behavior of those who write the ‘purchase orders’ for an essentially supply driven healthcare economy. As my colleague and surfing buddy John Mattison, MD (@JohneMattison), Assistant Medical Director, and CMIO Kaiser Permanente Southern California (@KPshare) often says: ‘we get what we incent’.

CAP_guide to value based comp

[Editor’s Note: and for those of you really interested in where the AMA stands on the bridging the volume-to-value divide, listen to: Health 2.0 Fall Conference 2015: An AMA Deep Dive on ‘The App Cure’].

Whether the ACA is repealed (highly doubtful) or materially modified (also not likely) its essence will not and cannot be ‘undone’ – the horse is out of the barn. Like it or not, the controlling DNA driving the many moving parts articulated in the ACA (and its state lab version ‘RomneyCare’) builds on decades of established health policy thinking on what works in the uniquely American public/private pluralistic partnership of healthcare financing and delivery.

Watch the ‘enablers’

Whether ACOs, fully integrated delivery systems (real IDNs – NOT their IDN lite versions), PCMHs, or one of a number of strains of risk bearing organizations (RBOs) from bundled pricing to full blown per member per month (PMPM) capitation, this is where the sustainable action can and will be found. This other stuff, plays well at CES and the many wannabe healthcare industry copy cat conferences playing an up the ante ‘cool factor’ card to an often ADD crowd, yet it’s tangible contribution to the triple aim or sustainable healthcare economy remains squarely ‘on the come.

 

 

Posted in Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act

Courtesy of our friends at AJMC: ‘5 Things to Know About Accountable Care Organizations’

by Laura Joszt

This week, The American Journal of Managed Care was in Palm Harbor, Florida, hosting the fall live meeting of its ACO and Emerging Healthcare Delivery Coalition, where stakeholders from across the healthcare industry discussed best practices. As the country moves from volume to value, accountable care organizations (ACOs) can play a key role during the transition from fee-for-service. However, ACOs not only remain largely a mystery to the average consumer, but also to providers who may be part of an organization participating in an ACO. Here’s what you need to know about ACOs:

1. ACOs are older than the Affordable Care Act. At least, the theory of ACOs is older. While the inclusion of ACOs in the health reform law has accelerated adoption of the delivery model, the term “accountable care organization” was first coined in 2006 by Elliott Fisher, MD, director of the Dartmouth Institute for Health Policy and Clinical Practice.

2. There are multiple models established by CMS. There are a number of different ACO models being offered by CMS. The most common model is the Medicare Shared Savings Program (MSSP), which has 404 ACOs and is accepting more. The Pioneer ACO Model is for healthcare organizations and providers already experienced in coordinating care, and while it started with 32 ACOs, just 19 remain today. The Advance Payment ACO Model is designed for physician-based and rural providers. And the newest model is the Next Generation ACO, which takes on greater performance risk with potentially greater rewards. The Next Generation ACO model is….

Complete article by Laura Joszt posted here.