Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act, TrumpCare

TrumpCare: As the Puzzle Emerges…

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

As the Trump administration takes form via the nomination of Rep. Tom Price to ‘steward’ (or decimate) the massive bureaucracy of the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) with Seema Verma nominated as Administrator of the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Administration (CMS) the structural touch-points to manifest the ‘repeal and replace‘ agenda of the Affordable Care Act (ACA) may be materializing before our eyes.

medscape_physician_survey2016Dr. Tom Price a Board Certified Orthopedic Surgeon (Editor’s note: the highest paid specialty per Medpage 2016 physician compensation survey and according the the Georgia Combined Board of Medical Examiners a ‘non participant’ in Georgia’s Medicaid program, with zero reported hospital appointments, publications or settled professional liability claims) and a vocal opponent of the ACA with several bills sponsored to enable ACA’s repeal and replacement is no friend of Medicare, Medicaid nor the broader ecosystem enabling the fulfillment obligations of the U.S. healthcare ‘[non]system‘.

Much of this likely health policy directional pivot can be reasonably visioned though the lens of what’s emerging as indicia of ‘TrumpCare‘ – the probable repeal and replacement option for ‘ObamaCare‘ aka the ACA.

In order to drill into what we can expect from President-elect Trump and the leadership team he’s proposed to assemble in order to drive his presumptive health reform vision we need focus on Rep. Tom Price’s historical positions and statements as potential replacement options.

The umbrella policy framework for for what may emerge as ‘Trumpcare’ begins at ‘Great Again‘ the .gov website dedicated to the President-elect’s agenda, and informed viaA Better Way (aka RyanCare) the Republican version to substitute ‘Government controlled‘ healthcare with so-called ‘free market‘ alternatives.

[Editor’s Note: At the bottom of this post we list a series of recent links associated with relevant health reform conversations].

Perhaps the most useful insights as to what is likely to survive the political consideration process is sourced from the collection of Republican authored repeal and replace proposals sourced from the historical work of Representative Tom Price.

At a June symposium organized by the American Enterprise Institute (AEI), Rep. Price, who serves as Chair of the House Budget Committee previewed his vision of healthcare reform with the following summary statements:

‘the ACA violates all of the principles that all of us hold dear…. accessible, affordable, a system of the highest quality and a system that provides choices for the American people – for patients.’

‘What we have put together is a patient centered plan that respects those principles. That allows everybody to have access to the coverage that they want not what the government forces them to buy.’

‘To solve the insurance challenges of portability and pre-existing and to save hundreds of billions of dollars.’

‘A few specific examples I’d like to share with you…

‘the individual and small group market – those of you who recognize or are in that area [Editor’s Note: code-speak for special interest groups including brokers, agents, MGAs and underwriters] you appreciate that its been ‘destroyed’ [Editor’s Note via essential health benefits, no preexisting conditions, mandatory MLR ceilings, removal of lifetime caps and the individual mandate] and so we want to re-constitute that market and make it responsive to patients and allow them to purchase the kind of coverage that they want [Editor’s Note: via a return to ‘junk insurance’ and ‘mini-med’ policies] not what the government forces them to buy [Editor’s Note: on the exchanges or via ACA sanctioned group health policies].’

‘Second we waste hundreds of billions of dollars [Editor’s note: estimated at a $55.6 Billion Price Tag Large, But Not a Key Driver of Total Health Care Spending] …due to lawsuit abuse in this country, the practice of defensive medicine and instead of just putting a band-aid on it, we propose a bold and robust solution that would allow physicians through practice guidelines [Editor’s note: Evidence Based Medicine, or so-called “cookbook medicine” by the AMA] to basically have a “safe harbor” [Editor’s note legal CYA] if your doctor does the right thing for a given diagnosis or given set of symptoms then they ought to be able to use that as an affirmative defense in a court of law – that’s the kind of proposal that we put forward.’

‘And third in addition the healthcare system that works for patients is one the must respect the physician patient relationship [Editor’s note: typically third party disintermediated practice, i.e. direct practice, concierge medicine, retainer or membership models] and so what we do is incentivize the highest quality of care without bureaucratic intervention. This better way, this plan right here that puts forward positive commonsense solutions for Medicare, Medicaid and for the larger healthcare arena so that we respect the principles of accessibility, of affordability of quality and of choices…’

There is so much fluff here we decided to do a deep dive on ‘PopHealth Week‘ with healthcare thought leaders and former health system and JV enterprise operators Fred Goldstein, Douglas Goldstein and Gregg Masters. We weighed in on some of the provisions of Representative Price’s tantalizing offers to the American people to deliver a viable alternative to the ACA that:

‘allows everybody to have access to the coverage that they want not what the government forces them to buy;

solves the insurance challenges of portability and pre-existing; and

saves hundreds of billions of dollars.’

You be the judge! Or as some may be recently awakening to: ‘Republicans suddenly discover that Obamacare repeal might not be so awesome, after all‘ or ‘Senate GOP Tips Its Hand: An Obamacare Replacement Could Be A Long Way Off‘.

If like me you are interested in how this unfolds I encourage you to follow the conversation on twitter via #PriceWatch and #TrumpCare hashtags.

More will no doubt be revealed! Some earlier context here and here.

Let’s drain the swamp, after all we now what works!

==##==

Trumpcare Resources c/o Fred Goldstein:

https://www.donaldjtrump.com/positions/healthcare-reform

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/what-will-trump-do-about-obamacare/

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/obamacare-defenders-vow-total-war-231164

https://www.govtrack.us/congress/bills/114/hr3762/summary

http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2016/11/09/day-one-and-beyond-what-trumps-election-means-for-the-aca/

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/blog/2016/nov/challenges-for-president-elect-trump-and-congress?omnicid=EALERT1125198&mid=fgoldstein@accountablehealthllc.com

https://www.greatagain.gov/policy/healthcare.html

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/10/23/1584745/-Paul-Ryan-has-three-great-ideas-to-improve-Obamacare

http://www.theatlantic.com/health/archive/2016/11/our-bodies-our-trump/507131/

https://www.greatagain.gov/policy/healthcare.html

http://www.commonwealthfund.org/publications/blog/2016/nov/challenges-for-president-elect-trump-and-congress?omnicid=EALERT1125198&mid=fgoldstein@accountablehealthllc.com

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2016/10/23/1584745/-Paul-Ryan-has-three-great-ideas-to-improve-Obamacare

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/wonk/wp/2016/11/12/donald-trump-is-beginning-to-face-a-rude-awakening-over-obamacare/

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442120/obamacare-repeal-republicans-should-ensure-health-care-reform-bipartisan

http://blogs.wsj.com/briefly/2016/11/10/5-questions-about-affordable-care-act-coverage-after-donald-trumps-election/

http://www.johnsoncitypress.com/News/2016/11/13/What-would-health-care-look-like-under-Trump.html?ci=stream&lp=1&p=1

http://www.wsj.com/articles/donald-trump-willing-to-keep-parts-of-health-law-1478895339

http://www.healthcaredive.com/news/speculations-swirl-around-trump-hhs-leadership-pick/430301/

https://www.sciencebasedmedicine.org/medical-science-policy-in-the-u-s-under-donald-trump/

http://thehealthcareblog.com/blog/2016/11/13/dear-mr-president-elect-about-that-ryan-plan-thing/

http://www.modernhealthcare.com/article/20161111/NEWS/161119989?utm_source=modernhealthcare&utm_medium=email&utm_content=20161111-NEWS-161119989&utm_campaign=mh-alert

http://www.hhnmag.com/articles/7843-health-reform-and-the-trump-white-house-implications-for-key-stakeholders?utm_campaign=111516&utm_medium=email&utm_source=hhndaily&eid=254508792&bid=1588113#.WCsKPQk6jpM.twitter

http://www.politico.com/tipsheets/politico-pulse/2016/11/obama-dares-gop-on-obamacare-do-it-better-than-me-217419

http://www.vox.com/2016/11/17/13626438/obamacare-replacement-plans-comparison

http://www.wnd.com/2016/11/7-keys-to-effective-health-care-overhaul/

http://www.nationalreview.com/article/442529/obamacare-donald-trump-repeal-replace-tax-cuts

 

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Accountable Care, health reform, JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, Medicare

Must listen JP Morgan Healthcare Conference Webcasts: @MolinaHealth

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

NOTE: This is the third in a series of ‘Must listen’ webcasts produced at JP Morgan’s 34th Annual Healthcare Conference. The first focused on telehealth sector market leader Teladoc, the second on Centene. For background and details on this august annual gathering, see ‘If It’s January, It’s JP Morgan Healthcare Conference. Remaining companies to detail as they represent important ‘bell weather’ insights relative to their respective sectors, include: Aetna, AthenaHealth, Genomic Health,Universal American, Tenet Health, as well as several from the ‘non-profit’ (tax exempt) sector including Baylor Scott and White

Molina Healthcare’s operations and strategy positioning insights are similar to Centene and in many ways constitute bell weather operators in the same space. Market and performance comparisons are material on a number of levels including the ‘urge to merge’ in the HMO or managed care space, and the implications such continuing consolidation holds for movement towards clinical and financial integration in the provider space. Additionally as many predict the future viability of the Medicare Trust Fund may rely largely on the efficacy of how Part C stakeholders articulate a sustainable vision of Medicare Advantage program to extend and enhance the life cycle of the Medicare program itself.

For direct link to the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, click here. For the associated Molina Healthcare profile, click here, the deck here and webcast, here.

Meanwhile, below are some slides which outline the company’s performance and market sector overall:

JPM_MolinaHealthcareJPM_MolinaHealthcare_revenueJPM_MolinaHealthcare_membership

 

JPM_MolinaHealthcare_home_community
JPM_MolinaHealthcare_medicaid
JPM_MolinaHealthcare_medicaid_growth JPM_MolinaHealthcare_medicaid_spend

JPM_MolinaHealthcare_acquisition JPM_MolinaHealthcare_year_ahead

 

 

Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act

Must listen JP Morgan Healthcare Conference Webcasts: @Centene

by Gregg A. Masters, MPH

NOTE: This is second in a series of ‘Must listen’ webcasts produced at JP Morgan’s 34th Annual Healthcare Conference. The first focused on telehealth sector market leader Teladoc. For background and details on this august gathering, see ‘If It’s January, It’s JP Morgan Healthcare Conference. Remaining companies to detail as they represent important ‘bell weather’ insights relative to their respective sectors, include: Aetna, AthenaHealth, Centene, Genomic Health, Molina Health,Universal American, Tenet Health, as well as several from the ‘non-profit’ (tax exempt) sector including Baylor Scott and White

Centene’s operations and strategy positioning insights are material on a number of levels including the ‘urge to merge’ in the HMO or managed care space, and the implications such continuing consolidation holds for movement towards clinical and financial integration in the provider space. Additionally as many predict the future viability of the Medicare Trust Fund may rely largely on the efficacy of how Part C stakeholders articulate a sustainable vision of Medicare Advantage program to extend and enhance the life cycle of the Medicare program itself.

For direct link to the JP Morgan Healthcare Conference, click here. For the associated Centene profile, click here, the deck here and webcast, here.

For two related pieces on navigating the ‘white waters’ of the market’s transformation from volume-to-value as well as the recent ‘collateral damage’ (aka data breach) of healthIT as central spine enabling the transformation, check out ‘Centene–Health Net Entity Could Be Medicaid Leader and ‘Centene loses hard drives with health info on 950,000 beneficiaries, launches search‘, respectively.

Meanwhile, here are some slides which paint the picture both company and industry:

Centene overview

Centene growth 2015

Screen Shot 2016-01-27 at 11.41.27 AM

Screen Shot 2016-01-27 at 11.41.42 AM

Screen Shot 2016-01-27 at 11.41.57 AM

Centene

Centene specialty growth

Centene growth strategy

Centene market vy product

Centene pipeline

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Centene:

http://jpmorgan.metameetings.com/confbook/healthcare16/company.php?company=CENTENE+Corporation&p=19768&special_list_title=

http://marketrealist.com/2015/07/centene-health-net-entity-medicaid-leader/

Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, health reform

Care Innovation Summit: A Very Sober Assessment!

By Gregg A. Masters, MPH

This session is well worth the time invested. Two veteran healthcare wonks weigh in on the fundamentals of healthcare transformation and where we stand in the glide-path towards sustainability or fulfillment of the ‘triple aim’.

Former CMS Administrator and healthcare attorney turned investor Tom Scully (Bush I Administration, see Wikipedia profile) and Peter Orszag (former CBO and OMB Director respectively, with tenures in both Obama & Clinton Administrations) reflect on health reform and more.

[NOTE: Their session begins at the 1:45:00 mark.]

Just some amazing and hard hitting reflections on where we are, where we need to go and just what we might be aiming for business model-wise. Spoiler alert: It starts with a ‘C’.

Also, earlier is a worthwhile session from Patrick Conway, MD, Chief Medical Officer, CMS and the Director of the Center for Medicare and Medicaid Innovation (CMMI). Dr. Conway touches on quite a bit including a deeper dives into the many moving parts of the CMMI innovation mission.

CMS Innovation Portfolio

 

Conway also iterates on the status of ACOs, including what may be generalized from the ‘lessons learned’ via Pioneer ACOS that may be infused in the MSSP class via statute or national ‘scaling.’ [Note: watch for insightful comment about press and question asked by one reporter in audience].

Accountable Care Organization Update

This may be one of the best and candid discussions I’ve heard to date on the ACA, ACOs and where and how we’re going to transform the rapacious appetite of the ‘healthcare borg’. Scully is a brother from another mother, referring to MedPartners and PhyCor in the same breath.

Who says there is no value to institutional memory or grey hair per se! Some of us have been to this dance before!

 

 

 

 

Accountable Care, ACO, Affordable Care Act, Medicare

AHIP Back in the ‘huddle’ and Reminiscent of the ‘GHAA Revolution’?

By Gregg A Masters, MPH

It’s been a very long time since I participated in an AHIP event. In fact for the record I have NEVER been to an AHIP event – that is before this week in DC. I attended, filmed, tweeted, broadcasted from, and now blog about AHIP’s ‘Medicare, Medicaid and Dual Eligible 2013 Program series.AHIP Medicare, Medicaid, Duals DC 2013

As someone who’s guided, counseled and implemented (at times successfully and other times not) some rather large proprietary, non-profit (ah hem, I mean ‘tax exempt’) health systems and their national or regionally branded provider sponsored ‘managed’ (ah hem, I mean ‘discounted’) health plans dating back to the 80s and into the millennium this is awkward if not curious (‘N’ of one?) state of affairs.

AHIP is after all is the ‘go to’ resource for the health plan community and their aligned provider and health system partners.  Yet somehow in my non traditional yet ‘mangled’ healthcare career path I managed somehow to stay outside of that tribe of dedicated and passionate healthcare professionals.

Back then, half of AHIP’s predecessor iteration was known as GHAA – the ‘group health association of America.’ This was an multi-dimensional trade label, as ‘group’ could be seen from an employer’s wholesale purchasing of group health insurance (vs. the ‘individual market)’ perspective but also from the point of it’s constituent member health plans mostly built upon ‘risk savvy’ medical group practice infrastructure – Friendly Hills, Mullikin, Bristol Park, Harriman Jones et al, at least in Southern California – though peer equivalents peppered the national lanscape, ie, Dean, Kelsey Seybold, Scott & White, InterMountain, Park Nicollet, Virgina Mason.

It’s been a while since the vertical integration and rabid consumption of group, IPA, or network model HMOs by national nameplates storming into the managed competition market and away from their indemnity roots (Aetna/US Healthcare, Prudential/PruCare, United HealthGroup, The Equitable/Equicor), but the players back then included the likes of HealthNet, PacifiCare, TakeCare, Maxicare (RIP)’ and many other national startup wannabes ie, Partners/VHA, UniHealth/CareAmerica, HealthPlan of America, HealthCare USA, to name just a few.

Nonetheless, GHAA meetings radiated with excitement and enthusiasm as the disruption vibe of the day was to bring this HMO thing from marginal (a 2nd tier class of docs, hospitals and ‘ancillary providers’ aligned with ‘HMO medicine’) into the mainstream. HMOs other than Kaiser Permanente, Mayo Clinic and the Cleveland Clinic were seen as less than quality ie, ‘cheaper’ medicine. Yes, back then comprehensive HMO benefits where the ‘value play’ in the group health portfolio.

Fast forward to today September 25th 2013. Consider the following: the Affordable Care Act (ACA) though approved by Congress, signed into law by the President and affirmed constitutional by the Supreme Court is a hostage to the antics of the junior Senator from Texas leading a ‘defund ObamaCare’ filibuster of sorts amidst a very real threat of a Federal Government shutdown. [Editor’s Note: Consider this the leading edge of wasting taxpayer dollars to pursue a political, not healthcare solution agenda].
AHIP podium signage
Whereas, in the ‘roll up your sleaves and lets get er done’ tribe, less than a mile away at the AHIP meeting a flock of dedicated healthcare professionals and aligned stakeholders from every sector of the healthcare ecosystem [perhaps absent the patients voice?] are ‘huddling’ to share best practices, enterprise models and the technical guidance that can assist the implementation of both the spirit and intent of a very complex and mostly certainly less than ideal law.

Wow what a contrast! That ‘juxtaposition of irony’ did not escape many of the faculty including no less than one warrior of a previous similar battle, the then OMB Director Alice Rivlin, now Co-chair, Bipartisan Policy Center’s Domenici-Rivlin Task Force and Interim Director of Brookings’ Engelberg Center for Health Care Reform who opined:

‘It really is a very strange time to be here in [Washington DC] the most extreme partisan politics in my memory and I’m afraid the most broken that I have seen our democratic process. Healthcare and health insurance are caught right in the middle of this dysfunctional situation……and [in view of the potential Federal Government shutdown] given this ‘disconnect’… you might wonder, have they lost their minds? And the answer is YES!’ – Alice Rivlin

So amidst this self imposed ‘faux’ crisis the title of the blog is to analogize the ‘return’ of AHIP to its original revolutionary roots. Given the scope, range and depth of the Act, making the ACA work is in the words of previous acting director of CMS and champion of ‘the triple aim’ Don Berwick an ‘all hands on deck’ affair. We need each other all rowing in the same direction if ‘we’ are to matter this time.

If not, the party for the public/private hosting of American medicine – both financing and delivery may be over.  It’s certainly debatable whether AHIP ever migrated away from their GHAA roots or not, but this is one observer’s experience in prior team huddles.

Accountable Care, Affordable Care Act, Medicare

A Juxtaposition of DC Irony

By Gregg A. Masters, MPH

It’s Monday in DC and the Capitol is distinctly vibrant albeit with a peculiar though eclectic mix of create vs.  deconstruct energies.

imageSome might say this attitudinal ‘chemical cocktail’ is in part sourced from a mix of ‘doers’, but also a smidge if not even a heaping portion of the just say ‘hell no’ [to Obamacare] crowd. For reference see: the latest effort by the House to derail health reform via a defund the act showdown with the Democratic controlled Senate and the President himself.

Yet amidst this continuing dance of oppositional strategizing we’re at the Renaissance Hotel DC for a series of one might characterize as ACA ‘implementation conferences’. These are principally the health plan doers who are under a mandate to reinvent themselves, and craft a sustainable market role for their members. The AHIP cohort is perhaps most visible via Aetna, Humana, United HealthGroup as well as others, who are intent upon making the best of this complex piece of legislation known as ‘the Affordable Care Act’. This gathering of players has huddled to support each others efforts and identify and share best practices to model as the industry collectively pursues the triple aim or alternatively cast as the coveted sustainable healthcare ecosystem.

One can assume the overwhelming mission of those attending the AHIP Conference trilogy are here to learn about if not advocate for the three pillars associated with the ACA: the tweaking of Medicare from volume to value via ACOs and other innovations, the significant expansion of Medicaid and the rapid expected growth in  ‘Dual Eligible’ population.

For conference schedule click here.

The hashtag for the conference is #AHIPMCMCConf.

Uncategorized

The ‘Medicaid Expansion’ Map: Where We Stand

By Gregg A. Masters, MPH

Where the States Stand

Courtesy of the good peeps at The Advisory Board, aka @TheAdvisoryBd, the emerging picture of where we are going in terms of the mission critical leg of full ACA implementation, rests to a large degree with the Executive Offices of the respective states. As can be expected, there is a reasonable correlation between ‘Red state v. Blue state’ governance with respect to the tapestry of intended implementation.

ACO and derivative implementation efforts (i.e., outside of the Federal regulation of the Medicare Shared Savings program et sequelae) both on and off the ‘balance sheet’ if you will, are directly related to the full implementation of the Act. Whether ACOs can manifest and achieve the intention of the Triple Aim is likely to be substantially muted if Medicaid expansion remains ‘optional’.

Two noted outspoken critics of the Act are former disgraced CEO of Columbia/HCA, founder of Conservatives for Patient’s Rights, and current Governor of the state of Florida, Rick Scott, as well as the outspoken and somewhat controversial ‘Mr. oops’ and reported notorious secessionist threat, Texas Governor Rick Perry.